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October 13, 2008

Updating Our Editorial Endorsement Update

MccainThe Boston Globe has just endorsed Obama, not exactly a shocker but adding to his impressive list of backers so far.  E&P is charting every endorsement and the circulation size of each paper -- and we just published our new complete chart, which we will update on Tuesday with the Globe and a few other papers added. So far, Obama leads by a 28-11 margin. (In 2004, Kerry edged Bush by only about 220-205.)   Perhaps more importantly, he has picked up five papers that backed Bush in 2004, while McCain has gained no flip-floppers.  The chart also counts up the combined number of readers for the papers in each candidate's camp. Send us any pick you see, to: gmitchell@editorandpublisher.com.    And, if you care, Christopher Hitchens endorses Obama at Slate.com, calls Palin pick a "disgrace." 

For those who scoff at editorial endorsements -- well, there is some reason for that, but on the other hand, as I have chronicled here, I guessed the winners of the  15 "tossup" states in 2004 strictly on the basis of editorial endorsements and got 14 correct (damn you, Florida).  -- Greg Mitchell

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The money they spend on these campains it makes you wonder ware the billions and trillions the governments just spent come from

Speaking of endorsements, here is one from the "Dean Dome" announced in POLITICO that will have a major impact in North Carolina:


Walter Dellinger, Attorney and DUKE Law Prof:

"I have become convinced that Obama will win my home state of North Carolina -- and not just because he was endorsed this morning by legendary former Tar Heel basketball coach Dean Smith.

The factors that suggest Obama could outperform the polls and win the state are these: (1) the fact that the Democratic nomination race continued until the decisive May 6 NC primary caused a hugely successful registration effort in NC by both the Clinton and Obama forces (for that reason, Clinton's continuing to fight until May has proved helpful to Obama); (2) the quality of the ground operation for Obama in North Carolina is very impressive (3) North Carolina is one of 15 early voting states -- voting begins across the state this week. The importance of early voting in an election where one party has a significant enthusiasm and volunteer advantage can hardly be overstated. Instead of having twelve hours on a single day to help get Obama's vote to the polls, the campaign has more than two weeks. This logistical operation has been well planned and is ready to be launched. I believe that turnout will be well beyond what the traditional polling protocols would indicate.

I know, I know, you're asking about the Bradley Effect. Will race cause a gap between what voters tell pollsters and what they do in the polling booth. I don't believe it in NC in this election this year. My gut is the only basis for this, but I believe it. I think enthusiasm and ground operation coupled with early voting will trump closet racism and Obama will exceed his poll numbers in NC. I think that there is a real chance that the answer to the question, "You knew it was over when....?" could be "7 pm election night when the networks declared that Obama would win North Carolina."


A couple days ago, this site posted an entry on Palin hearing boos: eandppub.com/2008/10/hockey-mom-pali.html

However, as pointed out at http://peekURL.com/z1m8o5n , the NYT completely "re-did" that story, throwing most of its previous content down the ol' memory hole and then plastering back in what actually happened.

However, oddly enough!, this site has not posted any sort of update or correction.

Gosh, if something like that happens I won't completely trust E&P again.

Oh, wait:

eandppub.com/2008/09/charlie-gibsons.html?cid=130330952#comment-130330952

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